Moggill vs Newmarket
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Newmarket. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: NewmarketGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.115Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.29. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League 3 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Newmarket is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Moggill – Newmarket Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Sportivo Trinidense (W) - Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 2.54 | 4.13% |
| WIN | HB Køge - Hvidovre IF | 2.08 | 2.63% |
| WIN | FC Utrecht - AZ | 2.47 | 3.59% |
| WIN | Wuxi Wugo - Guangdong GZ-Power | 2.07 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Arkonia Szczecin U19 - Gornik Zabrze U19 | 2.39 | 4.13% |
| WIN | SV Ried - Rapid Vienna | 2.40 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Huachipato - Everton de Vina | 2.29 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | PSG - Man Utd | 2.08 | 2.63% |