Arkonia Szczecin U19 – Gornik Zabrze U19

Model: TIPPSA

Arkonia Szczecin U19 vs Gornik Zabrze U19

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.59
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 14, 2026 12:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 3h 49m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7h 41m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Gornik Zabrze U19. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Gornik Zabrze U19Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.180 | A: 0.050

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

46/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.90First seen
Current2.59Now
Max odds2.61Highest point
Min odds1.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Arkonia Szczecin U19HOME
VS
Gornik Zabrze U19AWAY
DWWWW
Recent form
DDWWW
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.80
Defensive weakness
0.60
0.80
Shots on target for
1.00
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
2.20
Home splitD-W-L-L-W1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-W-D1.60 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.59. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland Youth League (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.59
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Gornik Zabrze U19's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -15.5% 7D: -1.8% 15D: 14.8% 30D: 9.8%
Model insight

Arkonia Szczecin U19 – Gornik Zabrze U19 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.59. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample145
Win Rate42.1%
Profit+9.71u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFC ML Vitebsk - Borac Banja Luka2.703.43%
WINSV Ried - Rapid Vienna2.404.13%
WINGBK - Huima/Urho2.473.43%
LOSSNWS Spirit FC - Blacktown City2.574.13%
LOSSAnsan Greeners FC - Gimhae FC 20082.383.43%
WINHertha Wels - SV Austria Salzburg2.764.96%
LOSSNew Mexico United - Colorado Switchbacks FC2.364.13%
LOSSAA Guarany - Atletico Gloriense2.363.59%
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Pick
2 @ 2.59
Kickoff
Ago 14, 2026 12:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.13% • n=261
Start
Started 3h 49m ago
Updated
Updated 7h 41m ago
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