Model: TIPPSA

Sportivo Trinidense (W) vs Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.54

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 3:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1h 41m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 22m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sportivo San Lorenzo (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.029 | A: -0.141

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

45/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.50First seen

Current2.54Now

Max odds2.54Highest point

Min odds2.50Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sportivo Trinidense (W)HOME

Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)AWAY

LWLLL

Recent form

LLWDW

Avg goals scored

0.80

2.80

Defensive weakness

2.40

2.20

Shots on target for

2.40

9.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

5.60

Home splitW-L-D-W-L1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-L-W2.80 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.54. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Women League (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.54

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Sportivo San Lorenzo (W). This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -14.5% 7D: -15.5% 15D: 3.1% 30D: 6.0%

Model insight

Sportivo Trinidense (W) – Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.54. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample161

Win Rate42.9%

Profit+12.07u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Crawley Town - Crewe	2.59	4.13%
WIN	FC Utrecht - AZ	2.47	3.59%
LOSS	CA Brown de Adrogue U20 - Estudiantes de Buenos Aires U20	2.64	3.59%
LOSS	Arkonia Szczecin U19 - Gornik Zabrze U19	2.39	4.13%
LOSS	FC ML Vitebsk - Borac Banja Luka	2.70	3.43%
WIN	SV Ried - Rapid Vienna	2.40	4.13%
WIN	Huachipato - Everton de Vina	2.29	4.13%
WIN	GBK - Huima/Urho	2.47	3.43%

Active Similar Predictions

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Pick

2 @ 2.54

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 3:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.13% • n=261

Start

Starts in 1h 41m

Updated

Updated 22m ago