Model: TIPPSA

Mold Alexandra vs Caersws

PREDICTION

@ 3.12

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 01, 2026 5:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1h 52m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1h 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Caersws. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CaerswsGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.10First seen

Current3.12Now

Max odds3.12Highest point

Min odds3.10Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Mold AlexandraHOME

CaerswsAWAY

DLWWW

Recent form

WWLLW

Avg goals scored

2.20

2.60

Defensive weakness

1.60

Shots on target for

4.00

7.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.75

3.80

Home splitL-W-W2.67 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitL-W1.50 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.12. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship North (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.12

V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market prices Caersws as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Caersws is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 23.6% 7D: -6.4% 15D: 9.7% 30D: 7.5%

Model insight

Mold Alexandra – Caersws Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.12. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.07% across 461 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample54

Win Rate35.2%

Profit+4.10u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Sundby - Ringsted IF	2.87	-1.07%
LOSS	Besiktas - Midtjylland	3.31	-0.79%
WIN	KuPS (W) - Aland United (W)	3.00	-1.07%
WIN	Anapolis FC - Botafogo PB	3.10	-1.07%
WIN	FC Haka - KTP	2.97	-1.07%
LOSS	Valur Reykjavik - Keflavik	2.93	-1.07%
LOSS	Avai - Cuiaba	3.20	-1.07%
WIN	Sao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude	3.22	-1.07%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
HNK Gorica - NK Osijek	2	3.11	-1.07%	01 Aug 21:00

Pick

2 @ 3.12

Kickoff

Ago 01, 2026 5:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461

Start

Starts in 1h 52m

Updated

Updated 1h 11m ago