Shenzhen Xinpengcheng – Chongqing Tonglianglong

Model: TIPPSA

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.14
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 02, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 0
StartStarted 3h 26m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.49% · n=175
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 28m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Chongqing Tonglianglong. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Chongqing TonglianglongGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.060 | A: -0.027

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

20/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.40First seen
Current3.14Now
Max odds3.40Highest point
Min odds2.85Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shenzhen XinpengchengHOME
VS
Chongqing TonglianglongAWAY
WLDLW
Recent form
LLWDD
Avg goals scored
1.80
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.00
Shots on target for
4.60
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
4.80
Home splitW-W-L-W-D2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-L-W0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.14. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.49% based on n=175 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Super League (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.14
V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 BandNONEROI -4.49% · n=175
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 51.1% 7D: 11.9% 15D: 10.9% 30D: 9.0%
Model insight

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng – Chongqing Tonglianglong Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.14. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.07% and -4.49%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample52
Win Rate34.6%
Profit+3.46u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSOrange County SC - El Paso Locomotive FC3.00-1.07%
WINHNK Gorica - NK Osijek3.11-1.07%
LOSSMold Alexandra - Caersws3.08-1.07%
LOSSBesiktas - Midtjylland3.31-0.79%
WINKuPS (W) - Aland United (W)3.00-1.07%
WINAnapolis FC - Botafogo PB3.10-1.07%
WINFC Haka - KTP2.97-1.07%
LOSSValur Reykjavik - Keflavik2.93-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 3.14
Kickoff
Ago 02, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.49% • n=175
Start
Started 3h 26m ago
Updated
Updated 5h 28m ago
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