Manta FC – Mushuc Runa

Model: TIPPSA

Manta FC vs Mushuc Runa

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.82
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 01, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 1d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mushuc Runa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mushuc RunaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.054 | A: -0.100

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

29/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.82Now
Max odds2.82Highest point
Min odds2.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Manta FCHOME
VS
Mushuc RunaAWAY
LLLDL
Recent form
WLDWL
Avg goals scored
0.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.40
Shots on target for
3.00
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
4.00
Home splitL-D-L-D-W0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-L-W-L1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.82. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.82
V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Mushuc Runa. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Mushuc Runa's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 36.5% 7D: 10.6% 15D: 9.2% 30D: 8.7%
Model insight

Manta FC – Mushuc Runa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.82. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.07% across 461 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample51
Win Rate39.2%
Profit+6.83u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSOrange County SC - El Paso Locomotive FC3.00-1.07%
LOSSCobh Ramblers - Wexford FC2.82-1.07%
LOSSHellas Kagran - SV Donau2.79-1.07%
LOSSSundby - Ringsted IF2.87-1.07%
WINKuPS (W) - Aland United (W)3.00-1.07%
WINAC Boise - One Knoxville SC2.84-1.07%
WINFC Haka - KTP2.97-1.07%
LOSSValur Reykjavik - Keflavik2.93-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 2.82
Kickoff
Ago 01, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461
Start
Started 1d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 2d ago
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