Monterey Bay FC – Sporting JAX

Model: TIPPSH

Monterey Bay FC vs Sporting JAX

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.71
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 11, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 53d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 53d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Monterey Bay FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Monterey Bay FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.90First seen
Current1.71Now
Max odds1.93Highest point
Min odds1.68Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Monterey Bay FCHOME
VS
Sporting JAXAWAY
WDWWL
Recent form
LLDDD
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.40
2.20
Shots on target for
4.80
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
5.60
Home splitW-W-W-L-D2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-L-L1.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.71. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.71
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Monterey Bay FC showing a clearer performance edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Monterey Bay FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 30.9% 7D: -1.5% 15D: 0.9% 30D: 15.5%
Model insight

Monterey Bay FC – Sporting JAX Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.71. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample291
Win Rate59.1%
Profit-1.89u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINHammarby TFF - FC Arlanda1.63-7.35%
WINOlimpia Asuncion - Rubio Nu1.75-9.21%
WINFC Nordsjaelland - Randers FC1.65-6.04%
WINQviding FIF - BK Astrio1.62-10.11%
WINDeportivo Santaní - Encarnacion FC1.70-7.35%
WINLegia Warsaw - Zaglebie Lubin1.62-7.35%
WINBocas - Veraguas United Reserves1.63-10.11%
WINZamora - Deportivo Rayo Zuliano1.68-9.21%
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Harrogate Town - Solihull Moors11.62-9.21%08 Aug 16:00
Pick
1 @ 1.71
Kickoff
Giu 11, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Started 53d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 53d 21h ago
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