Model: TIPPSA

Moss vs Stabaek

PREDICTION

@ 2.08

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 30, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 48d 8h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 48d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Stabaek. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Stabaek

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

23/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.17First seen

Current2.17Now

Max odds2.25Highest point

Min odds2.17Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MossHOME

StabaekAWAY

DLDWL

Recent form

DWDLW

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.60

Defensive weakness

2.20

1.20

Shots on target for

4.00

6.80

SoT conceded pressure

6.40

5.00

Home splitD-D-L-W-W1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitD-D-W-W-D2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.08. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.84% based on n=515 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Division 1 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.08

V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Stabaek is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 2.6% 7D: 8.3% 15D: 22.4% 30D: 8.9%

Model insight

Moss – Stabaek Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.08. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.84% across 515 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample42

Win Rate47.6%

Profit+0.63u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Finn Harps - Bray Wanderers	2.08	-0.84%
WIN	Spartak Moscow U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U19	2.21	-0.84%
LOSS	FC Nordsjaelland - Sparta Prague	2.17	-0.84%
LOSS	BATE Borisov - AF Elbasani	2.20	-0.84%
WIN	Puskas Academy - Istanbul Basaksehir	2.03	-0.84%
WIN	Kelty Hearts - Queen's Park	2.20	-0.84%
LOSS	Drogheda United - Shelbourne	2.06	-0.84%
WIN	Fenix - Leones de Rosario	2.14	-0.84%

Pick

2 @ 2.08

Kickoff

Mag 30, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515

Start

Started 48d 8h ago

Updated

Updated 48d 10h ago