Model: TipA1

Naestved vs FC Helsingor

PREDICTION

@ 3.75

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 19, 2026 3:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 4h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.27% · n=211

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 14m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Helsingor. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Helsingor

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NaestvedHOME

FC HelsingorAWAY

WLWLW

Recent form

LWDDL

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.40

2.00

Shots on target for

4.80

8.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

5.80

Home splitW-L-L-L-D1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitL-D-D-D-L1.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.75. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.27% based on n=211 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.75

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.27% · n=211

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Helsingor's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -5.8% 7D: -17.9% 15D: -2.6% 30D: 14.2%

Model insight

Naestved – FC Helsingor Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.27% across 211 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample35

Win Rate34.3%

Profit+10.40u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Marine - Colwyn Bay	3.75	2.27%
LOSS	Clermont Foot - US Orleans 45	4.00	2.27%
WIN	Universitatea Cluj - Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	3.75	2.27%
WIN	Serrano - Sao Goncalo	3.70	2.63%
WIN	FC Trinity Zlin - MFK Skalica	3.50	2.63%
LOSS	Ferroviario Lichinga - Costa Do Sol	3.50	2.63%
LOSS	Adelaide Cobras - Eastern United	3.70	2.63%
LOSS	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas - CA Costa Brava	3.80	2.27%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Brisbane Olympic FC (W) - Gold Coast United (W)	2	4.00	2.27%	18 Jul 09:00
LASK Linz - Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	3.90	2.27%	18 Jul 15:30
CA Colegiales - Ferrocarril Midland	2	3.60	2.63%	18 Jul 22:00

Pick

2 @ 3.75

Kickoff

Lug 19, 2026 3:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.27% • n=211

Start

Starts in 1d 4h

Updated

Updated 14m ago