Model: TIPPSH
National Bank – El Gounah
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.17
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 9d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 9h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | National Bank | El Gounah |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-D-W-W | D-L-L-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-D-W-W (home) | D-L-D-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded | 0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.20 for / 2.60 against | 2.60 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 2.00 against (home) | 2.20 for / 3.40 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors National Bank. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. National Bank is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.76First seen
Current2.17Now
Max odds2.17Highest point
Min odds1.72Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
National Bank – El Gounah Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.21% and 5.21%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample14
Win Rate35.7%
Profit-3.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Henan U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20 | 2.04 | 6.72% |
| LOSS | KA Akureyri - Valur Reykjavik | 2.30 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | FBK Karlstad - Umeå FC | 2.30 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Operario PR - Chapecoense | 2.34 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Falkirk - Hibernian | 2.31 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Antwerp - Standard Liege | 2.02 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) - FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) | 2.27 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Juazeirense - ASA | 2.40 | 6.90% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LKS Lodz II - OKS Swit Skolwin | 1 | 2.35 | 6.90% | 08 May 17:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.17
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.21% • n=76
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.21% • n=76
Start
Started 9d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 9h ago