National Bank – El Gounah

Model: TIPPSH

National Bank vs El Gounah

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.17
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 54d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is National Bank. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: National Bank

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

45/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.76First seen
Current2.17Now
Max odds2.17Highest point
Min odds1.72Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

National BankHOME
VS
El GounahAWAY
DLDWW
Recent form
DLLDD
Avg goals scored
1.60
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.20
Shots on target for
5.20
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
4.40
Home splitD-L-D-W-W1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-L-D-W-D0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.17. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.21% based on n=76 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Egypt Division 1 (eg). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.17
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.21% · n=76
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.21% · n=76
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors National Bank. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to National Bank's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 39.2% 7D: 14.6% 15D: -5.7% 30D: -0.7%
Model insight

National Bank – El Gounah Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.21% and 5.21%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample19
Win Rate42.1%
Profit-2.34u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBotafogo SP - Avai1.966.72%
WINBelgium - Senegal2.126.72%
LOSSCRB - Fortaleza2.176.72%
WINUniversity NSW U20 - St George Saints U201.966.72%
LOSSKTP - FC Haka2.126.72%
WINHenan U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U202.046.72%
LOSSKA Akureyri - Valur Reykjavik2.306.90%
LOSSFBK Karlstad - Umeå FC2.306.90%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
LKS Lodz II - OKS Swit Skolwin12.356.90%08 May 17:00
Pick
1 @ 2.17
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.21% • n=76
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.21% • n=76
Start
Started 54d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 55d ago
Torna in alto