New York City FC II – FC Cincinnati II

Model: TIPPSH

New York City FC II vs FC Cincinnati II

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.84
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 20, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 19h 20m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is New York City FC II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: New York City FC IIGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.048 | A: -0.076

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.75First seen
Current1.84Now
Max odds2.01Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

New York City FC IIHOME
VS
FC Cincinnati IIAWAY
LWDLL
Recent form
LLLDL
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.60
Defensive weakness
2.20
3.40
Shots on target for
4.60
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
9.20
Home splitW-D-D-W-L2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.80 scored / 3.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.84. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.84
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives New York City FC II a useful statistical edge. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 42.0% 7D: -11.2% 15D: -4.5% 30D: 1.5%
Model insight

New York City FC II – FC Cincinnati II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.84. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample297
Win Rate52.5%
Profit+0.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINSogdiana Jizzakh - Qizilqum Zarafshon1.783.37%
LOSSCriciuma U20 - Chapecoense U202.043.37%
LOSSLokomotiv Plovdiv - Dunav Ruse1.783.37%
LOSSEverton de Vina - Audax Italiano1.963.37%
WINArda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia1.833.37%
LOSSDinamo Samarqand - Xorazm Urganch1.763.37%
LOSSMan Utd - AC Milan1.913.37%
LOSSCD Antofagasta - Santiago Wanderers1.883.37%
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Lugano - St Gallen12.013.37%23 Aug 16:30
Pick
1 @ 1.84
Kickoff
Ago 20, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Starts in 19h 20m
Updated
Updated 13m ago
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