Newry City vs Warrenpoint Town
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Newry City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Newry CityGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.59% based on n=207 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Northern Ireland Championship (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Newry City is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Newry City – Warrenpoint Town Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Nykobing - Naestved | 2.10 | 8.59% |
| LOSS | Hednesford - Southport | 2.00 | 8.59% |
| LOSS | Curzon Ashton - Bamber Bridge | 2.00 | 8.59% |
| LOSS | US Latina Calcio - AS Ostia Mare | 2.05 | 8.59% |
| LOSS | Slavia TU Kosice - MFK Stara Lubovna | 2.00 | 8.59% |
| LOSS | Perugia - Vis Pesaro | 2.15 | 8.59% |
| LOSS | FC Muri Gumligen - FC Solothurn | 2.00 | 8.59% |
| WIN | Balcatta FC (W) - Fremantle City FC (W) | 2.00 | 8.59% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff Draconians - Llanelli Town | 1 | 2.05 | 8.59% | 22 Aug 15:30 |
| South Melbourne - Heidelberg Utd | 1 | 2.20 | 8.59% | 23 Aug 07:30 |