Perugia vs Vis Pesaro
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Perugia. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: PerugiaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.073 | A: -0.123Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie C Cup (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.
Perugia – Vis Pesaro Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Dinamo Samarqand - Xorazm Urganch | 1.76 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Man Utd - AC Milan | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CD Antofagasta - Santiago Wanderers | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kairat Almaty (W) - Kaisar Kyzylorda (W) | 1.96 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Cruzeiro - Mirassol | 1.76 | 3.37% |
| WIN | BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000 | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Rennes - Brentford | 2.06 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Porthmadog - Rhyl | 2.10 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Al Taawon Buraidah - Al Khaleej Saihat | 1 | 1.80 | 3.37% | 15 Aug 18:15 |
| Everton de Vina - Audax Italiano | 1 | 1.96 | 3.37% | 16 Aug 02:00 |
| Orense - Deportivo Cuenca | 1 | 2.00 | 3.37% | 16 Aug 21:00 |
| Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 1 | 1.83 | 3.37% | 17 Aug 20:15 |