Matsumoto Y FC vs Fukushima Utd
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Matsumoto Y FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Matsumoto Y FCValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.91. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J2/J3 Centennial League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Matsumoto Y FC – Fukushima Utd Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II | 1.89 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1.97 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Warta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Slovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk | 1.96 | 1.31% |
| WIN | EC Juventude - Vila Nova | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| GAIS - Elfsborg | 1 | 1.95 | 1.04% | 12 Jul 16:30 |
| Botafogo PB - AD Confianca | 1 | 2.02 | 1.31% | 13 Jul 00:30 |