Model: TIPPSA
NK Dubrava Zagreb – Orijent
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.46
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 17d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.40% · n=230
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17d 14h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | NK Dubrava Zagreb | Orijent |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-L-D | L-L-L-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-D-L (home) | L-L-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.25 scored / 1.75 conceded | 0.25 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.20 for / 5.40 against | 3.80 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.75 for / 4.00 against (home) | 4.00 for / 3.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Orijent. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.11First seen
Current2.46Now
Max odds2.46Highest point
Min odds2.11Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
NK Dubrava Zagreb – Orijent Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.46. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.40% across 230 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample147
Win Rate40.1%
Profit-2.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.46
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
0.40% • n=230
Start
Started 17d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 17d 14h ago