NK Sampion Celje – ND Dravinja

Model: TipTromba5H

NK Sampion Celje vs ND Dravinja

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.50
StatusUpcoming
KickoffSet 01, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 22h 48m
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.25% · n=123
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.25% · n=123
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NK Sampion Celje. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NK Sampion CeljeGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.076

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

67/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.50First seen
Current4.81Now
Max odds5.11Highest point
Min odds4.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NK Sampion CeljeHOME
VS
ND DravinjaAWAY
LDL
Recent form
LLLLW
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.60
Defensive weakness
2.33
2.00
Shots on target for
4.67
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.67
4.80
Home splitD1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-D-D0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.50. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.25% based on n=123 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Slovenia Cup (si). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.50
V2 BandHIGHROI 6.25% · n=123
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.25% · n=123
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. NK Sampion Celje is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 9.4% 7D: 9.4% 15D: 19.0% 30D: 8.2%
Model insight

NK Sampion Celje – ND Dravinja Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.25% and 6.25%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample45
Win Rate24.4%
Profit+5.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINPolonia Warsaw II - Bron Radom4.757.69%
LOSSKalighat Sports Lovers - Measurers Club4.506.25%
LOSSFC Livyi Bereh - Karpaty Lviv4.506.25%
LOSSTatran Vsechovice - SK Prostejov4.506.25%
LOSSGzira United - Valletta4.506.25%
LOSSSingida Black Stars - Simba Sports Club4.506.25%
WINKarlbergs BK - IK Brage4.506.25%
LOSSMaccabi Herzliya U19 - Hapoel Tel Aviv U194.757.69%
Pick
1 @ 4.50
Kickoff
Set 01, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.25% • n=123
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.25% • n=123
Start
Starts in 22h 48m
Updated
Updated 13m ago
Torna in alto