Polonia Warsaw II – Bron Radom

Model: TipTromba5H

Polonia Warsaw II vs Bron Radom

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 30, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 23h 43m ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.69% · n=45
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.69% · n=45
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Polonia Warsaw II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Polonia Warsaw IIGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.064

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

73/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current4.75Now
Max odds4.75Highest point
Min odds2.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Polonia Warsaw IIHOME
VS
Bron RadomAWAY
WLWW
Recent form
LDLWL
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.50
1.40
Shots on target for
5.67
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
3.20
Home splitW-W-W2.67 scored / 0.33 conceded
Away splitL-W-D-L-L1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.75. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.69% based on n=45 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland IV Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.75
V2 BandHIGHROI 7.69% · n=45
V4 BandHIGHROI 7.69% · n=45
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Polonia Warsaw II's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 8.9% 7D: 4.7% 15D: 15.8% 30D: 7.6%
Model insight

Polonia Warsaw II – Bron Radom Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.69% and 7.69%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample45
Win Rate24.4%
Profit+5.25u
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Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
NK Sampion Celje - ND Dravinja14.506.25%01 Sep 16:30
Pick
1 @ 4.75
Kickoff
Ago 30, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.69% • n=45
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.69% • n=45
Start
Started 23h 43m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 1h ago
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