Model: TIPPSH

North Carolina Courage (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)

PREDICTION

@ 1.81

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 23, 2026 3:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 20h 29m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is North Carolina Courage (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: North Carolina Courage (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.143 | A: -0.030

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.84First seen

Current1.81Now

Max odds1.85Highest point

Min odds1.81Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

North Carolina Courage (W)HOME

Boston Legacy FC (W)AWAY

LWWWL

Recent form

LLDWL

Avg goals scored

2.80

1.40

Defensive weakness

2.00

2.20

Shots on target for

6.00

3.80

SoT conceded pressure

5.40

5.60

Home splitL-W-L-L-W2.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-L-D0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.81. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA NWSL Women (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.81

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. North Carolina Courage (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -3.7% 7D: -15.0% 15D: -2.2% 30D: 2.0%

Model insight

North Carolina Courage (W) – Boston Legacy FC (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample549

Win Rate51.0%

Profit-17.87u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	XV de Jau U20 - Porto Foot Ball U20	1.80	1.04%
LOSS	NuPS - LePa	1.89	1.04%
LOSS	Elfsborg (W) - KIF Orebro (W)	1.76	1.04%
WIN	FK Mornar Bar - Buducnost Podgorica	2.03	1.04%
WIN	HooGee - EPS Reservi	2.05	1.04%
WIN	Real Pilar Reserves - Excursionistas Reserves	1.99	1.04%
LOSS	Gramadense - Lajeadense	1.76	1.31%
WIN	Aryan FC - Measurers Club	1.95	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.81

Kickoff

Ago 23, 2026 3:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 20h 29m

Updated

Updated 12m ago