Model: TIPPSA

NWS Spirit FC vs Blacktown City

PREDICTION

@ 2.63

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 11:30 AM

ResultLOSS3 - 1

StartStarted 2h 9m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 4h 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Blacktown City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Blacktown CityGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.120 | A: 0.124

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

46/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.35First seen

Current2.63Now

Max odds3.35Highest point

Min odds2.57Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NWS Spirit FCHOME

Blacktown CityAWAY

LLLWD

Recent form

WWWWD

Avg goals scored

1.00

2.40

Defensive weakness

2.20

0.60

Shots on target for

3.80

7.80

SoT conceded pressure

5.60

3.60

Home splitL-W-W-W-L1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-W-L-W-D1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.63. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia New South Wales Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.63

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Blacktown City. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Blacktown City's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 1.6% 7D: 15.4% 15D: 5.0% 30D: 10.0%

Model insight

NWS Spirit FC – Blacktown City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample127

Win Rate40.9%

Profit+7.37u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Ansan Greeners FC - Gimhae FC 2008	2.38	3.43%
WIN	Hertha Wels - SV Austria Salzburg	2.76	4.96%
LOSS	FC Gute - Kungsängens IF	2.80	3.61%
LOSS	Aarau - Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	2.76	4.96%
WIN	Panama U20 - Canada U20	2.71	4.13%
LOSS	Gremio - Fluminense	2.54	3.43%
LOSS	Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion	2.47	3.59%
LOSS	Kalmar FF - Mjällby AIF	2.71	4.13%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN	2	2.70	3.31%	30 Apr 02:30
GBK - Huima/Urho	2	2.47	3.43%	08 Aug 16:00

Pick

2 @ 2.63

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 11:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.13% • n=261

Start

Started 2h 9m ago

Updated

Updated 4h 11m ago