Model: TIPPSH

CRB vs Gremio Novorizontino

PREDICTION

@ 2.48

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 17, 2026 1:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 12h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CRB. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CRBGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.023 | A: 0.001

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.43First seen

Current2.48Now

Max odds2.48Highest point

Min odds2.43Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CRBHOME

Gremio NovorizontinoAWAY

WWWWD

Recent form

LWLLL

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.20

Shots on target for

5.20

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

2.60

Home splitW-W-D-D-L1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-W-W2.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.48. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.48

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. CRB has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 9.5% 7D: 17.9% 15D: 12.2% 30D: 11.5%

Model insight

CRB – Gremio Novorizontino Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.48. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample206

Win Rate42.2%

Profit+3.03u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Real Jaen - Cacereno	2.25	1.41%
LOSS	Flamengo SP U20 - GO Audax U20	2.37	1.59%
LOSS	SalPa 2 - LTU	2.57	1.59%
LOSS	Academia Anzoategui FC - Portuguesa	2.68	1.59%
LOSS	Huachipato (W) - Palestino (W)	2.37	1.59%
LOSS	JS Hercules - SJK Akatemia II	2.32	1.59%
LOSS	Polonia Sroda Slaska - Moto Jelcz Olawa	2.62	1.59%
WIN	MKS Kluczbork - Gornik Polkowice	2.30	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.48

Kickoff

Ago 17, 2026 1:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 4d 12h

Updated

Updated 12m ago