Model: TipTromba2H
Orgullo Surtam – Bombarderos de Tecamac FC
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.95
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 27d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.17% · n=517
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 28d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Orgullo Surtam | Bombarderos de Tecamac FC |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-D | W-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.33 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-W (home) | W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.33 for / 1.33 against | 4.33 for / 3.67 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 1.50 against (home) | 4.00 for / 4.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Model insight
Orgullo Surtam – Bombarderos de Tecamac FC Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.95. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 7.17% across 517 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample115
Win Rate53.0%
Profit-2.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Puerto Nuevo Reserves - Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves | 1.91 | 6.89% |
| WIN | Cerro Largo Reserves - Club Oriental Reserves | 1.85 | 6.89% |
| WIN | UD Logrones - UD San Sebastian Reyes | 1.91 | 6.89% |
| LOSS | Motagua - CD Marathon | 1.85 | 6.89% |
| WIN | Yanapuma (W) - UNSAAC (W) | 1.83 | 7.35% |
| WIN | Union Luxembourg - FC Rodange | 1.80 | 5.56% |
| WIN | FK Minija - FK Tauras | 1.75 | 7.35% |
| WIN | Queanbeyan City - Canberra Juventus | 1.90 | 6.89% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasil de Pelotas - GE Bage | 1 | 1.91 | 6.89% | 28 May 00:00 |
| Caxias RS - Ituano | 1 | 1.95 | 6.89% | 31 May 00:30 |
| Macarthur Rams (W) - Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 1 | 1.80 | 5.56% | 31 May 07:00 |
| Guarani - Amazonas FC | 1 | 1.80 | 7.35% | 31 May 23:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.95
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.17% • n=517
Start
Started 27d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 28d 8h ago