Guarani – Amazonas FC

Model: TIPPSH

Guarani vs Amazonas FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.85
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN5 - 0
StartStarted 40d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 41d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Guarani. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Guarani

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.80First seen
Current1.85Now
Max odds1.93Highest point
Min odds1.71Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

GuaraniHOME
VS
Amazonas FCAWAY
WWLWW
Recent form
LLLLD
Avg goals scored
2.80
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.60
2.40
Shots on target for
6.40
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
6.00
Home splitW-L-W-D-W2.00 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-W-L1.00 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.85. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.85
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Guarani has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 4.3% 7D: 30.4% 15D: 25.9% 30D: 7.4%
Model insight

Guarani – Amazonas FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample277
Win Rate52.7%
Profit+2.90u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSWexford FC - Kerry FC1.903.37%
WINAlamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)1.903.37%
WINHouston FC - Hill Country Lobos1.853.37%
WINBeijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan1.783.37%
WINFK Jelgava - SC Grobinas2.053.37%
LOSSJecheon Citizen - Gijang United1.883.37%
WINInternacional U20 - Gremio U201.993.37%
LOSSPaysandu - Santa Cruz FC1.813.37%
Active Similar Predictions
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Pick
1 @ 1.85
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 40d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 41d 15h ago
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