Model: TIPPSH
Puerto Nuevo Reserves vs Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.95
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 26, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN4 - 0
StartStarted 45d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 23h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Puerto Nuevo Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Puerto Nuevo ReservesValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
29/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.91First seen
Current1.95Now
Max odds1.96Highest point
Min odds1.91Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Puerto Nuevo ReservesHOME
VS
Juventud Unida San Miguel ReservesAWAY
WDWDW
Recent form
LWLWL
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.60
3.20
Shots on target for
3.20
2.40
SoT conceded pressure
1.60
5.20
Home splitW-D-W-D1.50 scored / 0.25 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-L-L0.40 scored / 3.80 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Reserve League (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.95
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Puerto Nuevo Reserves a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 9.9%
7D: 35.6%
15D: 26.6%
30D: 6.8%
Model insight
Puerto Nuevo Reserves – Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.95. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample324
Win Rate47.2%
Profit-23.45u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1.97 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Warta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Slovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk | 1.96 | 1.31% |
| WIN | EC Juventude - Vila Nova | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Maldonado - Albion FC | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Cheonan City - Gimhae FC 2008 | 2.19 | 1.31% |
| WIN | America RJ - Serrano | 2.15 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC - Bucheon | 1 | 2.06 | 1.04% | 11 Jul 12:30 |
| Hwaseong FC - Paju Frontier FC | 1 | 1.93 | 1.04% | 11 Jul 12:30 |
| Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn | 1 | 1.95 | 1.04% | 11 Jul 20:00 |
| Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II | 1 | 1.89 | 1.31% | 12 Jul 01:00 |
| Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 12 Jul 04:00 |
| GAIS - Elfsborg | 1 | 1.95 | 1.04% | 12 Jul 16:30 |
Pick
1 @ 1.95
Kickoff
Mag 26, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 45d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 23h ago