Model: TIPPSA

Oviedo vs Deportivo La Coruna

PREDICTION

@ 2.39

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 25, 2026 9:30 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 2h 57m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 4h 58m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deportivo La Coruna. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deportivo La CorunaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.106

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.30First seen

Current2.48Now

Max odds2.48Highest point

Min odds2.25Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

OviedoHOME

Deportivo La CorunaAWAY

LLLDL

Recent form

WLWWW

Avg goals scored

0.00

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.80

0.60

Shots on target for

2.00

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

2.80

Home splitL-D-L-D-W0.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-D-D1.80 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.39. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.39

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Deportivo La Coruna's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 4.3% 7D: 20.0% 15D: 17.3% 30D: 22.5%

Model insight

Oviedo – Deportivo La Coruna Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.39. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample164

Win Rate39.6%

Profit-8.44u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Cobh Ramblers - Bray Wanderers	2.27	3.43%
LOSS	Austin FC - Seattle Sounders	2.30	3.43%
WIN	IFK Varnamo - Ljungskile	2.54	3.59%
WIN	Lipno Steszew - Unia Swarzedz	2.44	4.13%
WIN	Craigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)	2.34	3.43%
LOSS	Union La Calera - Universidad de Chile	2.29	3.59%
WIN	Maldives - Afghanistan	2.63	4.13%
WIN	Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan	2.52	3.43%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion	2	2.47	3.59%	25 Jul 23:30

Pick

2 @ 2.39

Kickoff

Lug 25, 2026 9:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.13% • n=261

Start

Started 2h 57m ago

Updated

Updated 4h 58m ago