Padova U19 – Venezia U19

Model: TIPPSH

Padova U19 vs Venezia U19

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.38
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 55d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Padova U19. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Padova U19

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

24/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.12First seen
Current2.38Now
Max odds2.38Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Padova U19HOME
VS
Venezia U19AWAY
DWDLL
Recent form
DWLDL
Avg goals scored
1.40
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.00
Shots on target for
6.00
3.50
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
7.25
Home splitD-W-L-W1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L0.75 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.38. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.54% based on n=136 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Campionato Primavera 2 (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.38
V2 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Padova U19 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 11.3% 7D: 5.6% 15D: -0.6% 30D: -0.1%
Model insight

Padova U19 – Venezia U19 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.38. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample63
Win Rate39.7%
Profit-2.72u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSRouen - Laval2.29-1.54%
LOSSAarau - Grasshoppers2.46-0.42%
WINGreuther Furth - Fortuna Dusseldorf2.59-1.54%
LOSSF91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen2.38-1.54%
WINSport Boys - Cusco FC2.36-1.54%
WINFC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W)2.50-1.54%
LOSSSt Gallen - FC Thun2.25-1.54%
LOSSMontana - Spartak Varna2.44-1.54%
Pick
1 @ 2.38
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.54% • n=136
Start
Started 55d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 12h ago
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