Model: TIPPSA
Bay FC (W) – Boston Legacy FC (W)
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 10d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10d 23h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Bay FC (W) | Boston Legacy FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-W-L-L | D-W-D-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-L (home) | D-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.33 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.40 for / 6.80 against | 4.80 for / 4.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 3.67 against (home) | 4.33 for / 5.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Boston Legacy FC (W). There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Boston Legacy FC (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.33First seen
Current2.60Now
Max odds2.60Highest point
Min odds2.33Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Bay FC (W) – Boston Legacy FC (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample117
Win Rate42.7%
Profit+9.90u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
| WIN | Polonia Bytom - Slask Wroclaw | 2.57 | 3.31% |
| WIN | FH Hafnarfjordur - KA Akureyri | 2.54 | 4.44% |
| LOSS | Motor Lublin - Cracovia Krakow | 2.53 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | OH Leuven - Antwerp | 2.55 | 3.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.60
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.44% • n=196
Start
Started 10d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 10d 23h ago