Bay FC (W) – Boston Legacy FC (W)

Model: TIPPSA

Bay FC (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 56d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Boston Legacy FC (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Boston Legacy FC (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

47/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.33First seen
Current2.60Now
Max odds2.60Highest point
Min odds2.33Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bay FC (W)HOME
VS
Boston Legacy FC (W)AWAY
DDWLL
Recent form
DWDWD
Avg goals scored
0.40
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.40
Shots on target for
3.40
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
6.80
4.60
Home splitD-D-L0.33 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-D-L0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.60. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.44% based on n=196 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA NWSL Women (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.60
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.44% · n=196
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Boston Legacy FC (W) shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Boston Legacy FC (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 8.3% 7D: 3.0% 15D: -3.6% 30D: -2.2%
Model insight

Bay FC (W) – Boston Legacy FC (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample123
Win Rate43.1%
Profit+11.70u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFencibles United - East Coast Bays2.814.96%
WINSantamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre2.654.13%
WINMaldives - Afghanistan2.634.13%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
LOSSNK Radomlje - NS Mura2.554.13%
WINHelsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC2.634.13%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.60
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.44% • n=196
Start
Started 56d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 14h ago
Torna in alto