Model: TIPPSH
Persik Kediri – Arema FC
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 12:30 PM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 24d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 4h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Persik Kediri | Arema FC |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-W-L | L-L-D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-W-D (home) | L-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 0.75 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 5.20 against | 3.80 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 4.25 against (home) | 3.67 for / 7.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.94First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.22Highest point
Min odds1.94Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Persik Kediri – Arema FC Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample176
Win Rate42.6%
Profit-20.17u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas | 2.27 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ascoli - Catania | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | 29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma | 2.31 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Leones de Rosario - General Lamadrid | 2.38 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | B36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II | 2.21 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 12:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 24d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 4h ago