Model: TipTromba12H

Peterhead vs Kilmarnock

PREDICTION

@ 9.00

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 25, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 2h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.68% · n=18

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 14m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Peterhead. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PeterheadGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.090 | A: 0.069

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

57/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds10.00First seen

Current10.20Now

Max odds10.20Highest point

Min odds10.00Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PeterheadHOME

KilmarnockAWAY

LWLWW

Recent form

WWDWW

Avg goals scored

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.80

0.40

Shots on target for

4.20

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

4.40

Home splitL-L-D-L0.25 scored / 1.50 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-W-W3.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 9.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.68% based on n=18 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland League Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd9.00

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.68% · n=18

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -13.5% 7D: 26.7% 15D: 17.1% 30D: 20.3%

Model insight

Peterhead – Kilmarnock Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 9.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba12H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.68% across 18 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample10

Win Rate0.0%

Profit-10.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Dartford - Charlton	9.00	2.68%
LOSS	SIF - VIFK	9.00	2.23%
LOSS	Shenzhen 2028 - Shaanxi Union	9.00	3.44%
LOSS	Slovacko (W) - Slavia Prague (W)	9.00	2.23%
LOSS	Spring Hills FC (W) - Bulleen Lions (W)	9.00	2.23%
LOSS	PWD Sports Club - Dhaka Abahani	9.00	2.23%
LOSS	Para Hills Knights - West Adelaide	9.00	2.23%
LOSS	JyTy - EuPa	9.00	2.23%

Pick

1 @ 9.00

Kickoff

Lug 25, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.68% • n=18

Start

Starts in 3d 2h

Updated

Updated 14m ago