Model: TIPPSH
Herediano vs Puntarenas
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.63
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 24, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 15h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Herediano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: HeredianoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.101 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
2/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.63First seen
Current1.63Now
Max odds1.63Highest point
Min odds1.63Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
HeredianoHOME
VS
PuntarenasAWAY
WWWLD
Recent form
LLLDL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.40
2.80
Shots on target for
3.00
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.20
6.00
Home splitW-D-D-W0.75 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitL-D2.50 scored / 4.00 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Costa Rica Primera Division (cr). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.63
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Herediano showing a clearer performance edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -13.5%
7D: 26.7%
15D: 17.1%
30D: 20.3%
Model insight
Herediano – Puntarenas Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample226
Win Rate58.4%
Profit-4.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Terengganu U20 - Penang U20 | 1.63 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Nottm Forest - Blackburn | 1.74 | -6.04% |
| LOSS | Stranraer - FC Edinburgh | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Tamworth - Aston Villa U21 | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Hanworth Villa - Kingstonian | 1.67 | -4.66% |
| WIN | East Fife - Linlithgow Rose | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | ABB U19 - The Strongest U19 | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Suduva Marijampole - Hegelmann Litauen | 1.71 | -9.21% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Nautico - Londrina | 1 | 1.73 | -9.21% | 23 Jul 02:30 |
| Tromso - Hradec Kralove | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 23 Jul 19:00 |
| Kerry FC - Finn Harps | 1 | 1.71 | -10.11% | 24 Jul 20:45 |
| Tepatitlan FC - Alacranes de Durango | 1 | 1.70 | -6.04% | 25 Jul 03:00 |
| Haugesund - Bryne | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 20:00 |
| CA Estudiantes Caseros - Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 1 | 1.68 | -6.04% | 25 Jul 20:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.63
Kickoff
Lug 24, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Starts in 1d 15h
Updated
Updated 6m ago