Model: TipA1

PFK Turan Tovuz vs Sabah

PREDICTION

@ 2.00

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 22, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 2

StartStarted 49d 21h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 51d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sabah. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sabah

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

11/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.22First seen

Current2.09Now

Max odds2.22Highest point

Min odds2.09Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PFK Turan TovuzHOME

SabahAWAY

LLWLD

Recent form

WLWLW

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.00

Shots on target for

2.60

7.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

2.40

Home splitL-W-D-W-L1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-W-D2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.85% based on n=318 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Azerbaijan Premier League (az). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.00

V2 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318

V4 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Sabah is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 17.9% 7D: 16.3% 15D: 13.7% 30D: 4.7%

Model insight

PFK Turan Tovuz – Sabah Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.85% and -3.85%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample158

Win Rate50.6%

Profit+8.35u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	St. James Swifts (W) - Sion Swifts (W)	2.05	-3.85%
LOSS	Holland Park Hawks U23 - North Star U23	2.10	-3.85%
WIN	Osasco Sporting U20 - Ibrachina U20	2.00	-1.48%
LOSS	Selfoss/Arborg U19 - Grotta/Kria U19	2.10	-1.48%
LOSS	Ponte Preta U20 - Santos U20	2.10	-1.48%
LOSS	FC Honka (W) - EBK (W)	2.05	-3.85%
LOSS	Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 - NWS Spirit FC U20	2.10	-3.85%
WIN	Eastern Suburbs - Peninsula Power	2.20	-3.85%

Active Similar Predictions

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FK Atyrau - FC Elimai Semey	2	2.15	-1.48%	12 Jul 16:00
JK Nomme United II - FC Flora Tallinn II	2	2.15	-1.48%	12 Jul 18:00

Pick

2 @ 2.00

Kickoff

Mag 22, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.85% • n=318

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-3.85% • n=318

Start

Started 49d 21h ago

Updated

Updated 51d 1h ago