Model: TIPPSH

Sarpsborg vs Molde

PREDICTION

@ 2.64

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 25, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 46d 18h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.70% · n=209

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sarpsborg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sarpsborg

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.61First seen

Current2.64Now

Max odds2.65Highest point

Min odds2.59Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SarpsborgHOME

MoldeAWAY

WLWLL

Recent form

LWLWW

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.60

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.00

Shots on target for

3.20

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

4.40

Home splitW-W-L-D-D1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-D0.75 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.64. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.70% based on n=209 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Eliteserien (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.64

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandNONEROI -0.70% · n=209

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 17.9% 7D: 16.3% 15D: 13.7% 30D: 4.7%

Model insight

Sarpsborg – Molde Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.64. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.70% across 209 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample55

Win Rate38.2%

Profit-1.41u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Brisbane Roar NPL - Rochedale Rovers	2.50	1.59%
WIN	Logan Lightning - Ipswich FC	2.72	1.41%
WIN	Nublense - O'Higgins	2.39	1.41%
WIN	Aarhus Fremad - Silkeborg IF	2.64	1.41%
WIN	Athlone Town - Cobh Ramblers	2.51	1.59%
LOSS	Athletic Club MG - Operario PR	2.49	1.59%
LOSS	FC Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi	2.50	1.59%
LOSS	CA Patrocinense - Uberaba	2.51	1.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
North Star - Logan Lightning	1	2.55	1.59%	23 May 09:00
FC Lahti - FC Ilves	1	2.65	1.59%	30 May 16:00
Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves	1	2.40	1.59%	05 Jul 19:00

Pick

1 @ 2.64

Kickoff

Mag 25, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-0.70% • n=209

Start

Started 46d 18h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 20h ago