Model: TIPPSH
Sarpsborg – Molde
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.64
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 25, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 1d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.70% · n=209
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Sarpsborg | Molde |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W-L-L | L-W-L-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-L-D-D (home) | L-L-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.75 scored / 1.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.20 for / 4.00 against | 4.40 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.80 for / 4.40 against (home) | 4.25 for / 4.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.61First seen
Current2.64Now
Max odds2.65Highest point
Min odds2.59Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Sarpsborg – Molde Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.64. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.70% across 209 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample13
Win Rate53.8%
Profit+4.69u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 - JK Nomme United II | 2.47 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Uniao Rondonopolis - Ceilandia | 2.41 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Yazaki Valente FC - Chukyo University | 2.53 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Bavois - SC Cham | 2.49 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Yangpyeong FC - Gangneung City | 2.50 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Albirex Niigata - Ehime FC | 2.65 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Rot-Weiss Essen - Greuther Furth | 2.65 | 1.59% |
| WIN | SV Ried - Rapid Vienna | 2.41 | 1.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
| Degerfors - Brommapojkarna | 1 | 2.39 | 1.59% | 31 May 14:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.64
Kickoff
Mag 25, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-0.70% • n=209
Start
Started 1d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 8h ago