Model: TIPPSH
Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.15
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 26, 2026 3:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 13h 2m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18h 11m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Philadelphia Union. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Philadelphia UnionGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.143 | A: -0.167Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
31/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.31First seen
Current2.15Now
Max odds2.31Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Philadelphia UnionHOME
VS
Seattle SoundersAWAY
WLDLL
Recent form
LLLLW
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.00
Defensive weakness
2.80
2.60
Shots on target for
6.40
5.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
4.80
Home splitW-D-D-D1.00 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-L-W0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.15
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 6.1%
7D: 27.8%
15D: 19.7%
30D: 24.6%
Model insight
Philadelphia Union – Seattle Sounders Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample341
Win Rate47.2%
Profit-1.91u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Inter Lions - Prospect United | 2.00 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Internacional (W) - Fluminense RJ (W) | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| WIN | SD Atletico Nacional - San Francisco Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | FC Kufstein - FC Pinzgau | 2.05 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Pocheon Citizen FC - Daejeon Korail | 2.16 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Sacachispas U20 - El Porvenir U20 | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Fulham United FC | 1.94 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Deportivo Cali (W) - America de Cali (W) | 2.25 | 1.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 02:00 |
| Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata | 1 | 2.05 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 12:00 |
| Liaoning Ironman - Qingdao West Coast | 1 | 2.16 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 13:35 |
| NEC - Elversberg | 1 | 2.00 | 1.31% | 25 Jul 14:00 |
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1 | 2.09 | 1.31% | 25 Jul 15:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Lug 26, 2026 3:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Starts in 13h 2m
Updated
Updated 18h 11m ago