Model: TipA1

Pirata FC vs Union Comercio

PREDICTION

@ 2.45

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 17, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 17h 13m

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.14% · n=199

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.14% · n=199

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Union Comercio. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Union ComercioGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.137 | A: -0.017

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

69/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Pirata FCHOME

Union ComercioAWAY

DLWLL

Recent form

WDLLW

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.40

Defensive weakness

2.40

0.80

Shots on target for

3.00

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

3.00

Home splitW-W-W-W-W2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-L-W-W-D0.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.45. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 11.14% based on n=199 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Liga 2 (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.45

V2 BandELITEROI 11.14% · n=199

V4 BandELITEROI 11.14% · n=199

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Union Comercio has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Union Comercio's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -16.1% 7D: -18.1% 15D: -1.9% 30D: 3.0%

Model insight

Pirata FC – Union Comercio Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.45. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 11.14% and 11.14%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample32

Win Rate59.4%

Profit+13.23u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Sportivo Iteno - Club General Martin Ledesma	2.38	11.14%
WIN	Nautico Hacoaj - Deportivo Metalurgico	2.38	11.14%
WIN	AaB - FC Fredericia	2.35	11.14%
LOSS	Minnesota United FC II - The Town	2.63	11.14%
WIN	Lidköpings FK - Stenungsunds IF	2.35	11.14%
WIN	FC Järfälla - IF Karlstad Fotboll	2.20	11.04%
LOSS	Uniao Frederiquense - GE Bage	2.30	11.14%
WIN	IF Vestri - Grotta Seltjarnarnes	2.55	11.14%

Pick

2 @ 2.45

Kickoff

Ago 17, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 11.14% • n=199

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

11.14% • n=199

Start

Starts in 17h 13m

Updated

Updated 10m ago