Uniao Frederiquense – GE Bage

Model: TIPPSA

Uniao Frederiquense vs GE Bage

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.40
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 02, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 0
StartStarted 2d ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is GE Bage. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: GE BageGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current3.60Now
Max odds3.93Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Uniao FrederiquenseHOME
VS
GE BageAWAY
W
Recent form
LWLWL
Avg goals scored
3.00
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.00
1.40
Shots on target for
6.00
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
4.80
Home splitW3.00 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-L-W0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.40. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.31% based on n=19 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.40
V2 BandNONEROI -1.31% · n=19
V4 BandNONEROI -1.31% · n=19
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for GE Bage. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 26.9% 7D: 8.1% 15D: 12.1% 30D: 8.2%
Model insight

Uniao Frederiquense – GE Bage Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.40. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.31% and -1.31%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample24
Win Rate25.0%
Profit-4.90u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHuehuetecos FC - Deportivo Gomerano3.39-0.79%
LOSSIndependiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas3.61-0.79%
LOSSBesiktas - Midtjylland3.31-0.79%
LOSSReal Sociedad - Racing Santander3.50-1.31%
LOSSSacramento Republic - Rhode Island FC3.50-1.31%
LOSSAvai - Cuiaba3.20-1.07%
WINSao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude3.22-1.07%
LOSSTianjin Shengde (W) - Chongqing Olympic (W)3.43-0.79%
Pick
2 @ 3.40
Kickoff
Ago 02, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.31% • n=19
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.31% • n=19
Start
Started 2d ago
Updated
Updated 2d 2h ago
Torna in alto