Model: TipA1

Sportivo Iteno vs Club General Martin Ledesma

PREDICTION

@ 2.38

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 9h 9m ago

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.14% · n=199

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.14% · n=199

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 20h 31m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Club General Martin Ledesma. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Club General Martin LedesmaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.096 | A: 0.082

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

68/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.38First seen

Current2.39Now

Max odds2.39Highest point

Min odds2.38Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sportivo ItenoHOME

Club General Martin LedesmaAWAY

DWLDW

Recent form

DWWDW

Avg goals scored

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.80

0.60

Shots on target for

4.20

9.20

SoT conceded pressure

6.40

3.80

Home splitD-W-D-L-D1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitD-W-D-W-W2.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.38. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 11.14% based on n=199 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Primera B (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.38

V2 BandELITEROI 11.14% · n=199

V4 BandELITEROI 11.14% · n=199

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Club General Martin Ledesma has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -23.2% 7D: -20.3% 15D: 0.5% 30D: 3.7%

Model insight

Sportivo Iteno – Club General Martin Ledesma Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.38. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 11.14% and 11.14%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample33

Win Rate60.6%

Profit+13.83u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Polanka - MFK Vitkovice	2.15	11.04%
WIN	Estrela de Marco U20 - Nautico Capibaribe U20	2.15	11.04%
WIN	Nautico Hacoaj - Deportivo Metalurgico	2.38	11.14%
WIN	Canberra Juventus - Queanbeyan City	2.15	11.04%
WIN	AaB - FC Fredericia	2.35	11.14%
LOSS	Minnesota United FC II - The Town	2.63	11.14%
WIN	Lidköpings FK - Stenungsunds IF	2.35	11.14%
WIN	FC Järfälla - IF Karlstad Fotboll	2.20	11.04%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Pirata FC - Union Comercio	2	2.45	11.14%	17 Aug 18:00

Pick

2 @ 2.38

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 11.14% • n=199

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

11.14% • n=199

Start

Started 9h 9m ago

Updated

Updated 20h 31m ago