Model: TIPPSA
Piteå IF – FBK Karlstad
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.19
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 14, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 5
StartStarted 27d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 27d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Piteå IF | FBK Karlstad |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-L-L-L | W-W-W-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-L-L (home) | W-W-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.75 scored / 3.25 conceded | 2.75 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.40 for / 7.80 against | 6.20 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 8.75 against (home) | 5.75 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives FBK Karlstad a useful statistical edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. FBK Karlstad is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 30.5%
7D: 16.4%
15D: -3.9%
30D: -1.1%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.99First seen
Current2.19Now
Max odds2.19Highest point
Min odds1.69Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Piteå IF – FBK Karlstad Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.19. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.58% across 409 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample93
Win Rate52.7%
Profit+11.83u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | MyPa - PPJ | 2.06 | 1.76% |
| WIN | Academia Deportiva Cantolao - CD Universidad San Martin | 2.35 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Odense BK II (W) - BSF (W) | 2.02 | 1.76% |
| LOSS | Uniao Rondonopolis - Mixto | 2.38 | 0.84% |
| WIN | GIF Sundsvall - Sandvikens IF | 2.35 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Ishoj - VSK Arhus | 2.30 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Cong An HCMC II - Ho Chi Minh City | 2.04 | 1.21% |
| WIN | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 2.26 | 0.84% |
Pick
2 @ 2.19
Kickoff
Mag 14, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.58% • n=409
Start
Started 27d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 27d 8h ago