VfB Stuttgart – Paris FC

Model: TIPPSH

VfB Stuttgart vs Paris FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.78
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 01, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 1d ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is VfB Stuttgart. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: VfB StuttgartGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.049 | A: 0.071

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.62First seen
Current1.78Now
Max odds1.78Highest point
Min odds1.62Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

VfB StuttgartHOME
VS
Paris FCAWAY
DWWWL
Recent form
DDWWL
Avg goals scored
4.40
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.20
Shots on target for
9.00
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
2.80
Home splitD-W-D-W-W2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-D-W-L-W1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.78. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.78
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives VfB Stuttgart a useful statistical edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. VfB Stuttgart has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 27.0% 7D: 0.8% 15D: 10.2% 30D: 8.5%
Model insight

VfB Stuttgart – Paris FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.78. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample325
Win Rate45.8%
Profit-45.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINSouth Melbourne U23 - St Albans Saints U231.761.31%
WINKCCA - BUL FC1.781.31%
LOSSDarmstadt - Portsmouth1.911.31%
LOSSSSV Jeddeloh - FSV Schoningen1.851.04%
LOSSBK Hacken - Kalmar FF1.811.04%
WINMiddelfart - Thisted FC1.841.31%
LOSSSturt Lions - Adelaide Comets1.831.04%
WINWolfsburg - Telstar1.761.04%
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Pick
1 @ 1.78
Kickoff
Ago 01, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 1d ago
Updated
Updated 1d 2h ago
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