Poblense vs Aguilas
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Aguilas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AguilasValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.06. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.96% based on n=166 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Segunda Division RFEF Play-Offs (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Aguilas. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Aguilas's attacking profile.
Poblense – Aguilas Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | KF Drita - FK Kauno Zalgiris | 2.85 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Fencibles United - East Coast Bays | 2.81 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Lincoln Red Imps FC - Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3.30 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Dodoma Jiji FC - JKT Tanzania | 3.05 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Santamarina Tandil - Kimberley Mar del Plata | 3.01 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Deportes Copiapo - Santiago Wanderers | 2.92 | 4.96% |
| WIN | New Zealand (W) - Haiti (W) | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Shenhua | 2.91 | 4.96% |