Jaiba Brava – Tepatitlan FC

Model: TIPPSA

Jaiba Brava vs Tepatitlan FC

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 5:00 AM
ResultLOSS4 - 2
StartStarted 47d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tepatitlan FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tepatitlan FC

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.73First seen
Current3.65Now
Max odds4.13Highest point
Min odds3.65Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Jaiba BravaHOME
VS
Tepatitlan FCAWAY
WLLDD
Recent form
LWWDD
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.20
Shots on target for
1.60
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
1.60
Home splitW-D-W-W-W1.80 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-D-D-L-D0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.60. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.31% based on n=19 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga de Expansion (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.60
V2 BandNONEROI -1.31% · n=19
V4 BandNONEROI -1.31% · n=19
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Tepatitlan FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 1.6% 7D: 11.7% 15D: 26.0% 30D: 11.1%
Model insight

Jaiba Brava – Tepatitlan FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.31% and -1.31%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample7
Win Rate14.3%
Profit-3.22u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSacramento Republic - Rhode Island FC3.50-1.31%
LOSSTianjin Shengde (W) - Chongqing Olympic (W)3.43-0.79%
LOSSArmenia - Kazakhstan3.70-1.31%
LOSSHerediano - Cartagines3.48-1.78%
WINBraga B - AD Sanjoanense3.78-1.79%
LOSSBrusque - Caxias RS3.75-1.79%
LOSSSalPa - RoPS3.70-1.78%
Pick
2 @ 3.60
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 5:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.31% • n=19
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.31% • n=19
Start
Started 47d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 1h ago
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