Pontypridd Utd – Trethomas Bluebirds AFC

Model: TIPPSH

Pontypridd Utd vs Trethomas Bluebirds AFC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.83
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 21, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 16h 41m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Pontypridd Utd. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Pontypridd UtdGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.089 | A: -0.094

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.45First seen
Current1.83Now
Max odds1.83Highest point
Min odds1.45Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Pontypridd UtdHOME
VS
Trethomas Bluebirds AFCAWAY
WWWWD
Recent form
LLDDL
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.20
2.40
Shots on target for
5.60
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
6.40
Home splitW-W-D1.67 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-L-D0.80 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.83. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.83
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Pontypridd Utd a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 48.9% 7D: 13.1% 15D: 2.8% 30D: 4.6%
Model insight

Pontypridd Utd – Trethomas Bluebirds AFC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.83. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample583
Win Rate50.8%
Profit-19.15u
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Pick
1 @ 1.83
Kickoff
Ago 21, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 16h 41m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 1h ago
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