Model: TIPPSH
Portmore United – Tivoli Gardens
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.87
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 07, 2026 12:30 AM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 20d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 20d 15h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Portmore United | Tivoli Gardens |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-W-W | L-L-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-D-D (home) | L-L-L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.40 scored / 2.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.40 for / 1.80 against | 3.80 for / 7.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.33 for / 4.33 against (home) | 3.00 for / 7.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.57First seen
Current1.55Now
Max odds1.75Highest point
Min odds1.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Portmore United – Tivoli Gardens Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.87. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample267
Win Rate52.4%
Profit+1.54u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Imisli - FK Karvan | 1.80 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kalmar FF - Degerfors | 1.95 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.87
Kickoff
Mag 07, 2026 12:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 20d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 20d 15h ago