Portmore United – Tivoli Gardens

Model: TIPPSH

Portmore United vs Tivoli Gardens

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 07, 2026 12:30 AM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 87d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 87d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Portmore United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Portmore UnitedGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.62First seen
Current1.97Now
Max odds2.03Highest point
Min odds1.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Portmore UnitedHOME
VS
Tivoli GardensAWAY
WDLWW
Recent form
LLLLW
Avg goals scored
1.60
0.60
Defensive weakness
0.60
2.40
Shots on target for
3.40
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
1.80
7.60
Home splitW-L-D-D1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.40 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Jamaica Premier League (jm). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -14.9% 7D: -14.6% 15D: -2.5% 30D: 9.1%
Model insight

Portmore United – Tivoli Gardens Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample375
Win Rate49.6%
Profit-9.83u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINTäfteå IK - Gottne IF2.193.37%
LOSSFC Yaypan Fergana - Fardu Ferghana2.153.37%
LOSSBeitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca1.953.37%
WINSt Johnstone - Kilmarnock2.203.37%
WINSekhukhune United FC - Durban City1.883.37%
LOSSFeyenoord - Rayo Vallecano2.083.37%
WINAjax - Burnley2.043.37%
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Pick
1 @ 2.00
Kickoff
Mag 07, 2026 12:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 87d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 87d 23h ago
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