Model: TipA1

Puente Alto vs Club Aguara

PREDICTION

@ 2.05

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 4:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 16h 29m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.75% · n=380

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12h 20m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Club Aguara. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Club AguaraGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.045 | A: -0.010

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

38/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Puente AltoHOME

Club AguaraAWAY

LWLLL

Recent form

DLWLD

Avg goals scored

1.00

0.80

Defensive weakness

2.40

1.00

Shots on target for

3.80

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

7.60

4.80

Home splitL-D-L-D-L1.40 scored / 2.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-D-L0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.05. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.75% based on n=380 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Tercera (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.05

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.75% · n=380

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Club Aguara's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 62.8% 7D: 8.7% 15D: 1.6% 30D: 3.8%

Model insight

Puente Alto – Club Aguara Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.75% across 380 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample130

Win Rate42.3%

Profit-10.20u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Lokomotiv Tbilisi - FC Gonio	2.20	3.75%
WIN	FC Kreuzlingen - SC Cham	2.20	3.75%
LOSS	Moreirense U23 - Famalicao U23	2.20	3.75%
WIN	Darlington 1883 - Chester	2.25	4.27%
WIN	Portland Hearts of Pine - Forward Madison FC	2.20	3.75%
WIN	3 de Febrero FBC - Club Sport Colombia	2.20	3.75%
LOSS	FC Roskilde - Middelfart	2.30	4.27%
WIN	Annan Athletic - Clyde	2.10	3.75%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
ATSV Wolfsberg - Wolfsberger AC	2	2.15	3.75%	31 Jul 19:00
Fremad Amager - FC Roskilde	2	2.30	4.27%	21 Aug 19:00
Tiszakecske FC - Diosgyori VTK	2	2.05	3.75%	22 Aug 19:00

Pick

2 @ 2.05

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 4:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.75% • n=380

Start

Starts in 16h 29m

Updated

Updated 12h 20m ago