Model: TipA1

FC Roskilde vs Middelfart

PREDICTION

@ 2.30

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 19h 4m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Middelfart. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MiddelfartGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.055 | A: 0.204

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.41First seen

Current2.30Now

Max odds2.41Highest point

Min odds2.30Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC RoskildeHOME

MiddelfartAWAY

WWDDD

Recent form

WWWWW

Avg goals scored

2.80

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.20

Shots on target for

4.20

9.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

3.40

Home splitD-D-W-L-L1.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitW-W-L-W-L1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.30. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=1151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Denmark Division 2 (dk). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.30

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Middelfart's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 10.7% 7D: 9.0% 15D: 13.9% 30D: 10.6%

Model insight

FC Roskilde – Middelfart Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample225

Win Rate43.6%

Profit+5.03u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Gazalkent - Olympic Mobiuz	2.38	4.27%
LOSS	Universidad de Concepcion (W) - Huachipato (W)	2.35	4.27%
LOSS	Brest - Venezia	2.50	4.27%
LOSS	Kraluv Dvur - Viktoria Plzen B	2.05	3.75%
LOSS	Melbourne Knights U23 - Bulleen Lions U23	2.30	4.27%
LOSS	Merthyr Town - Hednesford	2.25	4.27%
LOSS	Racing Santander - CD Alaves	2.30	4.27%
WIN	Bulleen Lions (W) - Box Hill (W)	2.38	4.27%

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Pick

2 @ 2.30

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151

Start

Starts in 19h 4m

Updated

Updated 1d 6h ago