Model: TIPPSH

FC Cincinnati vs Pachuca

PREDICTION

@ 2.05

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 05, 2026 3:45 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 6h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 16m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Cincinnati. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC CincinnatiGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.056 | A: 0.011

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.07First seen

Current2.05Now

Max odds2.07Highest point

Min odds2.03Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC CincinnatiHOME

PachucaAWAY

WLWWW

Recent form

LLWLW

Avg goals scored

3.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

2.00

0.80

Shots on target for

8.00

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

3.00

Home splitW-W-W-W-L4.00 scored / 2.60 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-W-L1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.05. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Leagues Cup (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.05

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors FC Cincinnati. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. FC Cincinnati has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 38.7% 7D: 11.8% 15D: 5.3% 30D: 10.9%

Model insight

FC Cincinnati – Pachuca Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample474

Win Rate47.0%

Profit-22.49u

Historical Similar Predictions

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WIN	St Louis City II - Real Monarchs SLC	1.83	1.04%
LOSS	Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia	2.04	1.04%
LOSS	Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke	2.10	1.31%
WIN	Aragua - Bolivar SC	2.30	1.59%
WIN	Reipas - PPJ	1.85	1.04%
WIN	Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa	2.22	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.05

Kickoff

Ago 05, 2026 3:45 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 1d 6h

Updated

Updated 16m ago