Rayo Vallecano – Espanyol

Model: TIPPSH

Rayo Vallecano – Espanyol

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 23, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 33d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 33d 15h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Rayo Vallecano Espanyol
Last 5 form W-L-L-W-W L-L-D
Avg goals scored 1.20 0.33
Avg goals conceded 1.20 1.67
Home/Away form W-W-W (home) L-L-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.67 scored / 0.00 conceded 0.33 scored / 1.67 conceded
Shots on target 4.40 for / 4.60 against 2.67 for / 7.00 against
Home/Away shots on target 5.00 for / 3.33 against (home) 2.67 for / 7.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Rayo Vallecano a useful statistical edge. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Rayo Vallecano is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.26First seen
Current2.14Now
Max odds2.26Highest point
Min odds2.14Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight

Rayo Vallecano – Espanyol Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample218
Win Rate45.9%
Profit-13.99u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas2.272.49%
LOSSAF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores2.123.37%
WINAscoli - Catania2.282.49%
WIN29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma2.313.15%
LOSSCentral & Western - Hoi King2.203.37%
WINKariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio2.282.49%
WINLeones de Rosario - General Lamadrid2.382.49%
LOSSB36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II2.213.37%
Active Similar Predictions
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Pick
1 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Apr 23, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 33d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 33d 15h ago
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