Realidade Jovem (W) – Criciuma (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Realidade Jovem (W) vs Criciuma (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.67
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 47d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Realidade Jovem (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Realidade Jovem (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.50First seen
Current1.67Now
Max odds1.73Highest point
Min odds1.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Realidade Jovem (W)HOME
VS
Criciuma (W)AWAY
WWWLW
Recent form
LLLLD
Avg goals scored
2.40
0.60
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.40
Shots on target for
6.60
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
6.00
Home splitW-W-L-W2.50 scored / 0.75 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-W0.50 scored / 2.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A3 Women (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.67
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Realidade Jovem (W) as the more reliable side. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Realidade Jovem (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -1.1% 7D: 10.1% 15D: 25.2% 30D: 10.7%
Model insight

Realidade Jovem (W) – Criciuma (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.67. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample209
Win Rate58.9%
Profit-2.43u
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LOSSDaegu FC - Siheung City AC1.68-9.21%
WINSporting - Celtic1.74-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.67
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Started 47d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 15h ago
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