Model: TIPPSA

Reilac Shiga vs FC Gifu

PREDICTION

@ 2.46

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 09, 2026 1:30 PM

ResultWIN0 - 3

StartStarted 4h 30m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 6h 34m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Gifu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC GifuGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.70First seen

Current2.63Now

Max odds2.70Highest point

Min odds2.60Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Reilac ShigaHOME

FC GifuAWAY

LLWDW

Recent form

WDWLD

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.00

Shots on target for

4.20

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

6.20

4.20

Home splitL-W-W-L-L0.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-W-W2.00 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.46. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J3-League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.46

V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. FC Gifu has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 17.8% 7D: 17.4% 15D: 10.2% 30D: 11.7%

Model insight

Reilac Shiga – FC Gifu Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.46. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample79

Win Rate40.5%

Profit-1.11u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Brighton (W) - PSG (W)	2.25	0.84%
LOSS	FC Brno II - Frydek Mistek	2.42	0.84%
WIN	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha	2.58	0.84%
LOSS	Dundee - Aberdeen	2.61	0.84%
WIN	Korona Kielce II - Wisla Krakow II	2.25	0.84%
LOSS	Larne FC - FC Iberia 1999	2.23	1.76%
LOSS	Wexford FC - Bray Wanderers	2.28	0.84%
LOSS	Estrela - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2.23	1.21%

Pick

2 @ 2.46

Kickoff

Ago 09, 2026 1:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717

Start

Started 4h 30m ago

Updated

Updated 6h 34m ago