Reilac Shiga – Giravanz Kitakyushu

Model: TIPPSA

Reilac Shiga vs Giravanz Kitakyushu

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.44
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 10:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 55d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Giravanz Kitakyushu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Giravanz Kitakyushu

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

41/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.06First seen
Current2.44Now
Max odds2.48Highest point
Min odds2.06Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Reilac ShigaHOME
VS
Giravanz KitakyushuAWAY
WLWLL
Recent form
LDLWL
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.60
Shots on target for
2.00
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
3.00
Home splitW-W-L-L-L0.80 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-W-D0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.44. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.31% based on n=578 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J2/J3 Centennial League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.44
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Giravanz Kitakyushu's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 10.1% 7D: 15.0% 15D: 2.7% 30D: 0.1%
Model insight

Reilac Shiga – Giravanz Kitakyushu Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.44. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample155
Win Rate40.0%
Profit-4.08u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
WINSantamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre2.654.13%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
WINMaldives - Afghanistan2.634.13%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
Pick
2 @ 2.44
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 10:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 55d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 1h ago
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