Matsumoto Y FC vs Shonan Bellmare
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Matsumoto Y FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Matsumoto Y FCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.073 | A: 0.017Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.46. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.94% based on n=311 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J-League Cup (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Matsumoto Y FC. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Matsumoto Y FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Matsumoto Y FC – Shonan Bellmare Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Strømsgodset 2 - Finnsnes IL | 2.40 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | ASD Sporting Trestina - Vigor Senigallia | 2.44 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | Mirandes B - CDA Palencia | 2.37 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | Al Wehda Mecca - Damac FC | 2.35 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds | 2.49 | 8.94% |
| WIN | Dunajska Streda - Slovan Bratislava | 2.70 | 8.94% |
| WIN | Shepshed Dynamo - Carlton Town | 2.30 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | Hearts (W) - Rangers (W) | 2.43 | 8.94% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Arges Pitesti - Petrolul Ploiesti | 1 | 2.43 | 8.94% | 24 Jul 20:30 |
| Kispest Honved - MTK Budapest | 1 | 2.54 | 8.94% | 01 Aug 19:30 |